Friday, July 18, 2014

Power rankings and schedules

We all like rankings, and sports is filled with them: Top 25 rankings, power rankings, RPI ratings, Top 10 lists, etc.
One rankings system that has been around for a couple of decades is the Massey Ratings. Developed in the early 1990s by Kenneth Massey, the Massey Ratings rank the strength of sports teams. His ratings were part of the Bowl Championship Series since 1999.
Massey has ratings for professional sports, colleges and even high school football. And, yes, he ranks independent baseball teams, including those in the Frontier League:
http://www.oursportscentral.com/services/ratings/?lid=40
Massey currently has the Wild Things ranked as the No. 4 team in the Frontier League, behind top-ranked Evansville, Gateway and tonight's opponent River City. One reason for Washington's spot behind Evansville and the top two teams in the West is strength of schedule. According to Massey, the Wild Things have played the easiest schedule in the league. The Greys, obviously, have played the toughest schedule followed by the Joliet Slammers.
Strength of schedule will even out by season's end, but it's interesting to compare remaining schedules. Here are some things to know about the schedules in the post-all-star-game portion of the season:
* Gateway (31) and Washington (30) have played the most home games so far, which means they have the fewest home games remaining.
* Joliet is the only team that has 10 home series remaining.
* Joliet, Gateway, River City and Lake Erie are the only teams that have two series remaining against the Greys, though the Grizzlies will play five games instead of six against the travel team. Joliet also has nine games remaining against Windy City, which is 17-33.
* Washington has only one road series remaining against a team currently with the losing record (Windy City). Evansville, Southern Illinois and Lake Erie each have three road series left against losing teams.
* Evansville and Normal will play only 95 games. They had a game rained out that will not be made up. Though they are not in the same division, the Otters and CornBelters met eight times in the first three weeks of the season.
* Lake Erie and Florence, the closest teams to Washington in terms of mileage, do not play the Wild Things in the second half of the season.
* Washington opens the second half with 12 consecutive games against teams currently with winning records.
* Joliet will play its next 15 games against teams currently with losing records.
* Normal is the only team, other than the Greys, of course, that will play its final six games of the season on the road.
* The only trip Evansville will make to Washington all season will be for the final series of the year in September.
* River City, which leads the West Division, will play only seven games against West Division rivals in the second half of the season.

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